CIO Today

CIO Today Network Sites:   Top Tech News  |   CIO Today   |   Mobile Tech Today   |   Data Storage Today
Daily Briefing for Technology's Top Decision-Makers
Vblock™ Systems:
Advanced converged infrastructure
increases productivity & lowers costs.

www.vce.com
Wednesday, April 23rd 
The future of tape is here.
This ad will display for the next 20 seconds. Please click for more information, or scroll down to pass the ad, or Close Ad.
Trending Topics:   Security Heartbleed Big Data Cloud Computing Windows XP Data Centers OS X Mavericks
Home
Enterprise Software
Enterprise Hardware
Big Data
Network Security
Cloud Computing
CRM Systems
Data Storage
Operating Systems
Communications
CIO Issues
Mobile Tech
Chips & Processors
World Wide Web
Business Briefing
After Hours
Press Releases
 
Free Newsletters
Top CIO News
 
Mobile Tech Today
 

Tech Trends

IDC Forecasts Record 10% Decline in PC Market for Year

IDC Forecasts Record 10% Decline in PC Market for Year
December 3, 2013 12:59PM

Bookmark and Share
The chief concern for future PC demand is perhaps a lack of reasons to replace an older system. "Despite industry efforts, PC usage has not moved significantly beyond consumption and productivity tasks to differentiate PCs from other devices," said Jay Chou, IDC analyst. "As a result, PC lifespans continue to increase, thereby limiting market growth."

Neustar, Inc. (NYSE: NSR) is a trusted, neutral provider of real-time information and analysis to the Internet, telecommunications, information services, financial services, retail, media and advertising sectors. Neustar applies its advanced, secure technologies in location, identification, and evaluation to help its customers promote and protect their businesses. More information is available at www.neustar.biz.

More bad news for the PC industry. IDC is predicting worldwide shipments will fall 10 percent in 2013, marking the most severe yearly contraction on record.

It seems interest in PCs has remained limited in the tablet era, which is leading to few signs of positive growth beyond replacing existing machines. And it just gets worse in the near-term. IDC expects total shipments to decline another 3.8 percent in 2014 before turning slightly positive in the longer term.

At these rates, total PC shipments will remain just above 300 million during the forecast -- barely ahead of 2008 volumes. Even in emerging markets -- a primary growth engine of the PC market -- shipments are projected to decline in 2014 and recover by only a few percentage points during the forecast.

We asked Roger Kay, senior analyst at Endpoint Technologies Associates, for his take on the report. He told us IDC offers estimates in line with what he expected: "The declining fortunes of the PC market have been apparent for a while. But this trend may be even accelerating slightly."

Why Buy a New PC?

Jay Chou, senior research analyst for the Worldwide Quarterly PC Trackers at IDC, said the chief concern for future PC demand is perhaps a lack of reasons to replace an older system.

"While IDC research finds that the PC still remains the primary computing device -- for example, PCs are used more hours per day than tablets or phones -- PC usage is nonetheless declining each year as more devices become available," Chou said.

"And despite industry efforts, PC usage has not moved significantly beyond consumption and productivity tasks to differentiate PCs from other devices. As a result, PC lifespans continue to increase, thereby limiting market growth."

Commercial Market Better

The commercial market is faring notably better than the consumer market in 2013 with shipments declining by 5 percent year over year, compared with nearly 15 percent for the consumer market.

IDC said the relative stability is due to a mix of more stable PC investment planning, a smaller impact from tablets, and to replacements of Windows XP systems before the end of support planned for 2014. However, the firm noted, the long-term outlook for the two markets is not significantly different, with a small decline projected for both consumer and commercial segments in 2014 and near-flat growth in the longer term.

Loren Loverde, IDC's vice president for Worldwide Quarterly PC Trackers, said the emergence of 2-in-1 devices designed to function in both clamshell and slate configurations -- many of which will run Windows -- along with Windows-based tablets themselves, is expected to provide some new volume for the Windows platform as well as the PC vendors and other parts of the traditional PC ecosystem in coming years.

"The Windows-based tablet market -- covered in IDC's Worldwide Quarterly Tablet Tracker -- is expected to grow to 39.3 million units in 2017 from less than 7.5 million in 2013 and less than 1 million in 2011," Loverde said.

"However, relative to a PC market size of roughly 300 million units, these Windows tablets would add just a couple percent a year relative to PC growth. Even so, these Windows devices are projected to account for 10 percent of a combined PC and Windows tablet market by 2016 -- making them an important growth segment for the PC ecosystem."

Tell Us What You Think
Comment:

Name:



 Tech Trends
1. Poll: A Mix of Feelings on Future Tech
2. 'Like' Cheerios, Give Up Right To Sue
3. Google Earnings, Sales Disappoint
4. Review: Windows Embraces the Past
5. Intel Reports Lower 1Q Net Income




 Most Popular Articles
1. BlackBerry Drops T-Mobile After Nasty Spat
2. Cisco, IBM Launch Internet of Things Consortium
3. Salesforce CRM Gets Industry Specific for Internet of Customers
4. Intel Bets on Cloudera for Big Data Analytics
5. SAP HANA Data Warehouse App Gets Faster Analytics


Have an informed opinion on this story?
Send a Letter to the Editor.
We want to know what you think.
Send us your Feedback.

 Related Topics  Latest News & Special Reports

  Hortonworks, Concurrent To Partner
  Microsoft, BMC Targeting VMware
  AT&T in $500M Net Video Partnership
  Verizon Report Exposes Cyberthreats
  Samsung: $2.2B Too Much for Apple

 Technology Marketplace
Business Intelligence
Get real-time, cloud-based information services with Neustar.
 
Cloud Computing
Next Generation Data Center Is Here! Vblock™ Systems from VCE
 
Contact Centers
HP delivers the future of the contact center with HP Qfiniti 10.
 
Data Storage
Next Generation Data Center Is Here! Vblock™ Systems from VCE
Barium Ferrite (BaFe) is the future of tape.
2.5" Enterprise-class SATA & SAS SSDs for server & storage applications
 
Enterprise Hardware
Barium Ferrite (BaFe) is the future of tape.
2.5" Enterprise-class SATA & SAS SSDs for server & storage applications
 
Hardware
Protect your network with APC Smart-UPS battery backup
 
Network Security
Protect your network with APC Smart-UPS battery backup
 

Network Security Spotlight
Verizon Data Breach Report Exposes Top Threats
Beyond Heartbleed, there are cyberthreats vying to take down enterprise networks, corrupt smartphones, and wreak havoc on businesses. Verizon is exposing these threats in a new report.
 
Where Do Web Sites Stand, Post-Heartbleed?
A security firm says the vast majority of Web sites have patched themselves to protect against the Heartbleed bug, but now there are questions raised on the reliability of open-source programs.
 
White House Updating Online Privacy Policy
A new Obama administration privacy policy explains how the government will gather the user data of online visitors to WhiteHouse.gov, mobile apps and social media sites, saying much is in the public domain.
 
Navigation
CIO Today
Home/Top News | Enterprise Software | Enterprise Hardware | Big Data | Network Security | Cloud Computing | CRM Systems
Data Storage | Operating Systems | Communications | CIO Issues | Mobile Tech | Chips & Processors | World Wide Web
Business Briefing | After Hours | Press Releases
Also visit these Enterprise Technology Sites
Top Tech News | CIO Today | Mobile Tech Today | Data Storage Today

Services:
FreeNewsFeed | Free Newsletters | XML/RSS Feed

About CIO Today Network | How To Contact Us | Article Reprints | Services for PR Pros (In partnership with NewsFactor) | Top Tech Wire | How To Advertise

Privacy Policy | Terms of Service
© Copyright 2000-2014 CIO Today. All rights reserved. Article rating technology by Blogowogo. Member of Accuserve Ad Network.