Gartner Predicts Digital Disruption Accelerating for IT
By Barry Levine / CIO Today. Updated October 08, 2013.
There’s a flood coming out of Orlando, Florida. A flood of predictions, to be more precise, emanating from the Gartner conference currently taking place in that city, and they point to an IT landscape in which digital disruption is accelerating.
Gartner senior vice president Peter Sondergaard, for example, told the more than 8,000 CIOs and IT leaders gathered at the Gartner Symposium/ITxpo in Orlando that every corporate budget these days is an IT budget, and every company is a technology company.
He said that this 'digital industrial economy" is being “built on the foundation of the nexus of forces,” including the confluence of cloud, social collaboration, mobile and information, as well as the emerging Internet of Everything, including sensors and data tracking of inventory and of customers in brick-and-mortar stores, as well as analysis of every type of data.
Gartner said the Internet of Everything will mean that the 2.5 billion connected devices with unique IP addresses in 2009, most of which were cell phones and PCs, will become 30 billion devices with unique IPs, most of which will be products, by 2020.
The industry research firm is also releasing a variety of other predictions for IT organizations and users. One of the coming revolutions involves 3D printing and the production of physical goods and models, Gartner said.
This means, the firm said, that there will be a loss of at least $100 billion annually in intellectual property by 2018 because of 3D printing. The continually improving printers will not even have to print a finished good in order to engage in IP theft, but will only need to make a wax mold from a scanned object, enabling the object to then be manufactured.
But that’s only part of the picture. Gartner predicts that 3D printing of tissues and organs, what it calls “bioprinting,” will become a global issue by 2016 and will require regulation or even bans for biological use.
Then there’s crowdsourcing, which, like many other trends in technology, is just getting started. Gartner predicts that, by 2017, “over half of consumer goods manufacturers will receive 75 percent of their consumer innovation and R&D capabilities from crowdsourced solutions.” In fact, the firm says that consumer goods companies using crowdsourced solutions in marketing or for new product development will, by 2015, see a 1 percent increase in revenue over non-crowdsourced competitors.
‘IT as a Service’
• More than three-quarters of consumers will collect, track or barter their personal data for cost savings, convenience or customization by 2017.
• By 2020 governments and businesses will realize that they cannot protect as much as 75 percent of their sensitive data, and they will simply grant broad access to it.
• About 10 percent of computers in 2017 will be learning instead of processing.
Laura DiDio, an analyst with Information Technology Intelligence Corp., told NewsFactor that, rather than slowing down, the technology disruption is “accelerating with greater speed.” She said one can see this most clearly in how rapidly users and businesses have adopted mobile devices, and by the rise of “IT as a service,” where, “instead of IT telling its users how things are going to be, users are demanding that they be able to use their devices” at work.